Showing posts with label Business. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Business. Show all posts

Sunday, May 24, 2015

Ramblings on Pricing and Selling Time

"The successful producer of an article sells it for more than it cost him to make, and that's profit. But the customer buys it only because it is worth more to him than he pays for it, and that's his profit. No one can long make a profit producing anything unless the customer makes a profit using it. " [Samuel B. Pettengill]
Price is not cost plus desired profit. Price is the mutually agreed value of exchange between buyer and seller. Further more unless there are crazy laws in place, it is not necessary to make a profit on each item, it is the over all business which needs to make a profit. Considered another way the contents of a retail store are an assembly of components, it is the sale of this assembly which has to make a profit, not the sale of an individual component within the assembly. If a sole proprietor does not make a profit then they will not get fed: profits are their bread and butter. If a proprietary limited  (Pty Ltd) company with owner-operators does not make a profit, it does not matter as the owners are paid wages by the company which is a different entity than the owners themselves. Therefore a Pty Ltd company can operate as a zero profit company. If there are non-working shareholders then the company needs to make profits.

Desired weekly wages, annual salary or hourly pay rate, are simply numbers pulled out off a hat, they are subjective opinions, they are not a matter of science. At any point in time, there are items in the market place available at some currently defined price. Some of these things are essential to the individual for  survival, others are imposed needs by society, and still others are optional extras. Thus we can identify 3 different levels of income:

1) Survival
2) Social
3) Optional

For an individual can also identify their current level of income, this may be higher than the minimum social level but less than the desired optional level. Whilst we can calculate these levels based on prices in the market place none of these levels are fixed. The survival income for one person can be considerably different than that for another. There will also be differences between different geographical locations, and different cultures. The income levels are therefore relative values not absolute values. Further more individuals have differing capacities to adapt and improvise: so that whilst one person may struggle with a specified minimum wage, another person may flourish or at least get by comfortably. As I have mentioned many times before, once something is released to the market and environment, people will find uses for it way beyond the original intents of the designer.

In similar manner to the income levels for individuals, it is possible to work out different price levels for goods and/or services. However when working these prices out we should also give consideration to the entire assembly of goods and services, or the over all product mix, and  the over all performance of the business. Most important of all is what the buyer is willing to pay. An amount for the price which exceeds what the customer is willing to pay, isn't a price. The amount the customer is willing to pay, is an impression, a feeling, a perception of worth: something pulled out off a hat. That whimsical intangible perception of worth, is transient and can be changed.

So can work out accurately how long a job is going to take and then multiply by an hourly rate, the resultant value however is not the price unless a customer is willing to pay such amount. There should be no buts or may be's about it, the hourly rate was pulled out off a hat. Sure may have checked industrial awards for minimum rates, and checked job advertisements for market rates in excess of the minima: but at the end  of the day all the numbers were dreamed up by someone, and the numbers felt right, or they were all they could afford. Not much point conducting complex mathematical calculations with fiction.

So calculated an amount from time and hourly rate, and the customer perceives it as way too high. If the customer can perceive it is too high, then the person doing the calculation should also be equally able  to perceive that it is too high. Now could review the project, reduce feature's and thus reduce total time, or otherwise revise estimates of times for the existing features, however the real problem is that not every hour is worth the same value.

By being focused on selling time and using a constant hourly rate as a measure of self worth, proposed prices are exceeding the markets willingness to buy. If can pull a number out off a hat for desired annual salary or for hourly rate, then can also pull a number out off a hat to define a fixed price for a project.

Prices placed on goods in a retail store are an indirect negotiation with the customer. If they like the proposed prices they will buy, if they do not like the proposed prices then they will not buy. The retailer therefore has to adjust their prices in response to the market behaviour.

In a more traditional market place, there is a more direct negotiation between buyer and seller. Further more the buyers go to the sellers: there is no annoying people who are not in the market to buy. Such people have no stated need for the items, and no stated discretionary income they are willing to spend on such items, then some seller comes disturbing them: the negotiation has one major outcome no current sale and no future sale. No future sale because there is no price low enough to encourage keeping such an annoying enterprise in business.

Like a retail store, or mail order catalogue, the proposed price has to be there to be found by the potential customer. That means that potential customers need to have reason to visit the vicinity of the stores even though they have no need or intention of buying anything. Shopping malls, plaza's and precincts draw people in with regular consumable services, and whilst there, they may then become buyers of more discretionary items.

So for example, the confectionery stall in a department store draws parents, with kids, into the store. If the confectionery stall is near the middle of the store, the customers then have to pass more expensive items, where upon there is potential to buy such things. The confectionery may not make much profit itself, but it is essential to the over all experience of the store which ultimately results in sale of high value items. Similarly the cafe, potentially makes less profit than the department store selling electrical gadgets and operating from the same precinct. But without the cafe, the precinct is likely to be empty and no one buying tthe electrical goods. Owners of such shopping centres should take such things into consideration before charging the shop rents which are typically seen as extortionate. Be certain as to who is generating the traffic, and who is benefiting from such traffic.

The point is, that price, cannot be calculated. Calculate expected times, give consideration to the cashflow requirements over the time frame of the project., use an hourly rate if must do, but make the final proposed price a judgement. This can be done by applying weightings either to the over all calculated price or to the components of the calculated price.

It should also be noted that whether selling goods or services, there is a component of work which is not directly attributed to the product being sold. The cost of this work needs to be recovered by applying an overhead charge to each item sold. Say for example that intend to spend 2000 hours per year, but only 1000 of those hours are directly billable. The other 1000 hours is used up on adiministration, research design and development of product made available, marketing and finding new projects to work on, learning and training to keep up to date and develop greater proficiency, and a multitude of other minor activities too small to identify or otherwise track. So every hour billed has to cover the cost of every two hours worked. if throw sick days and vacation time in, then every hour worked has to cover even more indirect costs.

That a product has to be designed before it can be made, isn't always noted by the customer, plus many products are just repetitive copies, so there is an expectation that costs of design have been recovered already. Additionally such costs of design are hidden from the customer with respect to physical goods like cars and electrical gadgets, whilst with services it is not all that apparent that design is required in the first place. So can end up formulating an hourly rate which is heavily weighted by factors which have little value to the buyer of services.

Consider a retail store again. The store sits there and people come in and either buy or don't buy the goods which are on display. At the end of the year either the shop made enough money to cover the living expenses of the owner or it didn't. One major problem for the store owner is not so much the price of the items, but the mix of the items and whether or not they are of any value to any of the people who visit the store. If have the wrong product then it won't sell at any price. If have the right product but wrong price then it won't sell.

Now goods and services are interchangeable. A product previously offered as a goods, can be converted to a service or substituted/complemented by a service. A product previously offered as a service can be changed into a physical goods. For example when lawnmowers are few and expensive, then more likely to hire someone to cut the lawn with a mower. When lawn mowers are plentiful and low cost then people more likely to cut their own lawn, if they have the time. There are thus competing  circumstances which shift the demand in favour of either the service or the dependent product.

Similarly designing a building is time consuming activity, but if design the building once and distribute the cost of design across many buildings then the cost of design per item is considerably reduced. This is essential for small buildings, as the cost of engineering is not proportional to the size of the building but to the complexity and risk involved. Small buildings with the same structural form as large buildings require the same design effort. With small buildings therefore the cost of engineering can exceed the cost of the building. With large building projects, fees are likely to be a proportion of the capital value of the project: this can be far in excess of the costs and therefore highly profitable. Whilst for the small buildings the cost exceeds the market price of the engineering: and therefore its is not a viable business to engineer small buildings on a one-off project basis. There has to be repetitious use of the engineering, in the form of documentation, so that the cost of the engineering can be recovered by the sales of multiple documents. Price is therefore intimately tied to the product definition.

Another example is the design and development of web sites, this can be a time consuming exercise and expensive. However today there are many blogging platforms, and more general purpose platforms like WordPress. Almost everyone can build themselves a website in a few minutes. The value of the services offered by the website designers/builders thus decreases significantly. The web designers can jump up and down and complain about the quality of such sites, identify flaws, wish for regulations and monopolies, talk about solutioneering and insist that custom design is a must: but at the end of the day they have to prove the value of their services. Just like architects and engineers of buildings the majority just talk about custom design for the site, they don't actually do it.

A general principle is to introduce no more than 20% of the total features as new, novel and original. These 20% of the features will take 80% of the time. The implication is that if we therefore know 80% of the features or characteristics with certainty then we can calculate the total time for the project: however doing so is likely to generate an unacceptable time frame and unreasonable price if we resort to selling time.

Rather what it tells us, is that the time for 80% of the characteristics is relatively certain, and that it effectively defines a fixed product with a fixed price. The other 20% of the characteristics involve a high level of uncertainty, and therefore a highly variable cost and consequently unknown ultimate price to the buyer. I would contend that the majority of people want to buy off-the-shelf exactly what they want. They do not want the uncertainty of custom design at the point in time they seek suitable product to satisfy their needs. Designers and makers therefore need to be pro-active and make product available for selection. Concept documents are easier to produce than full production documentation, and documentation is easier than actual manufacture of physical object. When it comes to computers and digital products then production and distribution are relatively low costs.

A society built around selling time is going to be in big trouble when production times are cut to near zero. Whilst time may be a measure of an employees work, it is not a measure of the employees contribution to the income of the business. People become self-employed so that they get a greater share of the income that they perceive their work actually generates: though without all the resources of their previous employer the usual result is that the self-employed person earns less but possibly with less pressure. Some employees have to generate income to cover wages of other employees: employees who do not produce directly billable or saleable work.

If don't sell time then what do you sell? In the main sell expertise and know how, and willingness to do the work required. For example the person selling lawn mowing services could charge by the hour or sell at a fixed price. They have a willingness to do work that the home owner may not be interested in, further more they can develop expertise in grass and weeds, they can turn a weed ridden patchy lawn, into a well manicured lawn. Household lawns have relatively similar sizes therefore all take similar time to complete, so a fixed fee would be possible. However different lawns irrespective of the size may require different amounts of work to maintain depending on the environment, and depending on whether in a poor state needing improvement or a good state needing maintenance. This may therefore suggest having hourly rates and selling time. I suggest this is a bad idea.

To start with most things have a minimum fee. So for example say that decide want $30/hour and determine that the time required for the job is 0.5 hours, therefore the fee for the job is $15. From a perspective of convenience however people are likely to have more $20 dollar notes in their wallets than fives and tens, at a sale price of $15 the supplier needs a ready supply of $5 dollar notes to provide change to the customers. The hourly rate was a desired rate, its not an absolute. Does $20 seem unreasonable for the work? Note that people go into stores and hand over a lot more than that, for physical goods, in a few minutes.

Take from another perspective the job takes 2 hours and therefore the fee would be $60, does that seem reasonable and is it convenient to pay? Would it be better if the fee was dropped back to $50? Similarly is an hourly rate of $29.95 a sensible rate to have? It may mislead some people into working with blocks of 20 instead of 30, which is roughly the marketing objective of such prices: however the customer is not going to be happy with the final price if they believe they have been misled.

Note that it is the seller setting the buyer up with perceptions of price. A seller should have some awarenesss of average incomes, and disposable portion of income, for their market sector. Also if accept cheques or credit cards then the inconvenience of various denominations is removed, but then again there are minimum fees which are acceptable.

Given that in an industrialised nation less than 10% of population is involved in agricultural, can assume that the majority of the population is attempting to grab a share of the disposable portion of peoples income, that portion not required for food or other essentials. Assuming that with time all the other essentials also only requires a small portion of the population: housing for example, once it is built it can last for 50 to 100 years possibly longer: so with the bulk of the housing existing already do not expect many people involved in housing construction. So have a relatively small percentage of population supplying essentials, and rest trying to find something to supply.

Time isn't really something that people want to buy, especially if the output of the work effort is lower quality than they could produce themselves, and their own hourly pay rate is less than that of the service purchased. The funds available to the buyer are an important aspect of how they perceive value. For example say that a person can put $50 away each week, then they can save $2600 per year. Then chances are they are not going to be impressed paying some $1800 for a weeks worth of design producing a few drawings and some calculations: if the perception concerns selling and buying time and the report they get turns out to be defective relative to their needs but otherwise what they asked for. The longer it takes to save the money the more discerning the buyer is likely to be about the purchases they make: on the other hand they may lack adequate knowledge to make a proper selection of suitable supplier.

{... lost my track.}


However, just because should avoid selling time, doesn't mean shouldn't measure time.

Sunday, June 08, 2014

Metamorphs: Origin of the name

Back in 1996 I was getting bored, that was only getting to do structural drafting whilst had interests and capabilities, and qualifications beyond that. I was also opposed to the continuous improvement movement which seemed to be missing the perspective that a business needs to be dynamic and adaptive to respond to the dynamic environment in which it operated. An environment which is transformed by the very presence and action of the business enterprise. A world of chaos and uncertainty. Fluid as the imagination, like swirling paint mixing colours, the opening sequences to both Dr Who and the original The Tomorrow People. Not static: dynamic and moving, evolving. That utopia is static, and unsustainable, and is no where, and if somewhere, it is no where I want to be, and want to have no part in creating. Utopia if it is to be somewhere has to be dynamic: a dynamic utopia {something I started to write about in 1986}. A dynamic utopia is adaptive and evolving: and is built upon appropriate technologies best adapted to the environment in which it has to exist. Dynamic utopia can provide the basis of building habitat in space, and marching across the universe: to boldly go ... That the journey is more important than the destination. If the Sun has something like 6 billion years left (the number seems to vary), then have 2 billion years to find a new planetary home,  2 billion years to return and say, hey we found it, and 2 billion years to return. Just one little problem, if can survive travelling through space for 2 billion years, who needs a planet. {This thought came to mind watching the original Battle Star Galactica. Did they really need to get to their destination, and what then?} It is the exploration, the journey that has value, that is life.

So with this swirling chaos in my mind I wrote down a multitude of names that I dreamed up, one of which was Zhymekt {serious holistic industrial and mechanical technology}. Thus the names involved changes to letters of the alphabet, but main objective was to get reference to industrial and mechanical, to consider appropriate and adaptive technology, with implication of fluid imagination and Morpheus shaper of dreams. With a pocket book full of possible names, I went to the business names registry office to check the availability and register "Adaptive Technology", my preferred choice. At that point in time could only check the names at the registration office and that required a trip to the city {Now can check names on line, and nationally}. Already procrastinated long enough, so it was going to be a day of action, check availability and get it registered. Adaptive Technology, was already taken and so were many variants, and so Metamorphs was checked and became the instant replacement and was registered: for a business or rather enterprise that was going to pursue research and develop parametric generic models of adaptive technologies, and some other idealistic hyperbole.

Metamorphs produces, but it doesn't really trade. I make my living (?) through my fathers business Roy Harrison and Associates, which in 2009/2010 we went to register on the national companies register and found the name was taken, and so came up with MiScion Pty Ltd {which can be interpreted as: me off shoot (1.Scion 2.Scion). Except that the word "me", is pronounced with with the letter "i" having the sound as in the word "pit".}. Locally we still have registration of Roy Harrison and Associates as a business name, just not suitable for national usage.

So Metamorphs is where I pursue everything beyond structures: and doesn't have anything to do with MiScion Pty Ltd or Roy Harrison and Associates: though all the structural software I create and we use in the business has the name Metamorphs on it.

Any case the following are the two original descriptions for the name:


Version 1:

Meta : Transcending above and beyond
Morph : Form and structure

=> Transcending above and beyond structure

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Implications:
•The meanings of words are unclear and imprecise.
•The definition of an object can either be fixed and refer to a clearly defined instance of that object.
•Or the definition can be unclear and refer to multiple variations of a generic form.
•Some people have open minds and can see the generic nature of objects, others cannot
•
•Services not restricted to Structural Engineering Drafting & Design
•Structure is an abstract concept and can apply to objects other than buildings
•From an Industrial Engineering viewpoint Organisation structure is not fixed and can be changed
•
•Analytical Computer models are dependent initially on structured view of an object. But these models should be parametric, flexible,adaptable, and amorphous.
•The Language of Object Oriented Programming (OOP) provides the terminology for discussing an object oriented universe.
•Defining a specific instance of an object, or a generic object that is a description of a collection of like objects, is a never ending task of refinement.
•Language itself is dynamic, and the meanings of words change with time
•Objects do not have to be physical material things. They can be abstract ideas.
•
•Laws of thermodynamics suggest that mass and energy can neither be created nor destroyed just transformed from one form to another.
•The Gaia hypothesis suggests multiple levels of organisation structure and the emergence of higher forms of life. Cells congregate into multicellular lifeforms. These multi-cellular lifeforms congregate into societies, villages, cities, states, nations.
•The Gaia hypothesis suggests that there is a two way interaction between life form and environment. The mere presence of a Life form in an environment changes the environment. The life form needs to be continuously adapting to the constantly changing environment

Most of the form and structure that we perceive in the universe does not exist in reality, and is imposed by our own imaginations. If it does exist then it is transient, and exists for a short time frame. Even our perceptions and understanding change with time. So that patterns that were perfectly clear and obvious yesterday become a complete mystery to us today.

Metamorphs seeks out abstract generic definitions of objects. With such generic definitions perceptions of need can be transformed, undergo metamorphosis, and give birth to radically new objects.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 Change one thing and you change everything ! 

Version 2:

Transcending above and beyond Structures.

Just as carbon, under extremes of temperature and pressure, deep within the earth can be transformed into diamond, and caterpillars emerge from their cocoons as butterflies. So too, it is possible, for engineers to transform the dust of the earth into valuable live sustaining resources. To an Engineer the Physical World is as Fluid as the Imagination.

Metamorphs seeks out abstract generic definitions of objects. With such generic definitions perceptions of need can be transformed, undergo metamorphosis, and give birth to radically new objects.

A bicycle becomes a rickshaw, becomes electrified railway, becomes telegraph, becomes internet. The need for transportation is transformed and displaced by the need for communication.

Confucius stated that "learning starts with the precise meaning of words". However the ancient Greek metaphysics philosopher Cratylus  considered that change was so complete and total that he believed that the meanings of words change the very instant that you uttered them.

The word Broadcast is an example of a word where our common perceptions of its meaning has changed with time. In the 1880's the common frame of reference was farming, and it meant to scatter seed widely with the hand. Today the frame of reference is information cast broadly by electronic mass media in the form of radio and television, and now the internet.

The meanings of words change through analogy and metaphor. With time the origin of the meaning becomes lost, and the metaphor reflects the common understanding of a word.

What is this ? If you say pencil, then you know its name, what we call it, but not what it is.

It is : The existential brain cell of a Cray supercomputer. An instrument for communication through visual symbols. A graphite based electrical resistor. A craft tool for sculpting clay. It is raw material.

What it is, is determined by the environment in which it is found. The needs, imagination's , and adaptive capabilities of those who find it available as raw material.


Once a product, whether it be a goods or service, hits the market place, the public arena, its purpose and function changes. The original design specification and intent become obsolete. And a need arises to redesign the product to match its actual usage, but once released, the process repeats itself, in a never ending cycle.


Revisions:
[08/06/2014] : Original Post
[11/07/2015] : Minor Formatting changes, and links added.

Sunday, October 09, 2011

On Education, Industrial Awards, and Mobility of Professionals


I don't know but it appears that the modern world is highly focused on collecting credentials rather than actually doing work. Given a shortage of work probably not too much of a problem. Yes, I know there is apparently a global shortage of engineers, and also locally a national shortage of engineers in Australia.

But I have to question that shortage, the Engineers Australia linkedIN group has a variety of discussions taking place relative to the problems of overseas people getting their degrees accredited by Engineers Australia (IEAust). Not sure why they need to do this. But then the WFEO accords and consequent mutual recognition agreements, such as the Washington accord, the Sydney accord and the Dublin accord only really relate to qualified technical professionals. To become a qualified technical professional, the degree, only provides the enabling competence as IEAust puts it. Then depending on local requirements have to obtain anywhere from 3 to 10 years experience before can achieve, registration, license or charter. This may involve writing a collection of career episode reports, and combining into a work practice report, taking a professional interview, presenting a portfolio of work, sitting additional exam's (eg. FE/PE exams or IStructE part 3 exam etc...). If achieve the local requirements for full professional status, and that meets requirements of the WFEO accords, then mutual recognition holds and have the potential for mobility between countries.

However recognition of qualifications alone, doesn't mean going to get a job overseas, there are immigration issues, need to speak the language, and local experience requirements.

Those that finally have got accreditation of their degrees are apparently having trouble with local experience. Though I doubt the local experience is really the problem. Most jobs advertised require some 5 to 10 years experience: these are not jobs for graduate engineers. People who need accreditation of their degree are clearly not qualified engineers. The global shortage of engineers is not for graduates, for that matter it is not really for engineers. The real shortage is for highly experienced and competent persons with respect to established technologies, and highly innovative people with respect to unresolved problems.

Professional engineers, within engineering organisations governing the profession, having designed and defined an engineering team, have failed to educate practicing professional engineers about the differences in the membership of the team, and consequently professional engineers are failing to give the other members of the team the opportunity to put their education to work.

Part of the problem resides in past shortages of work, resulting in inflation of qualifications: thus a job that was previously the domain of an engineering associate has been raised to that of an engineer: the work complexity has not increased, and the person with a B.Eng in such job is never going to get experience required to achieve professional status: but since they can call themselves an engineer in anycase, what do they care about professional status? The problem however is that it produces an incorrect count of the necessity for engineers.

Up until the recent introduction of Federal industrial awards, in South Australia (SA), we had an award for draughtsmen and technical officers. This award covered drafters, engineering technicians, and engineeing associates. All 3 of these groups likely to have had a formal education of 2 years duration, so the duration of the education is not relevant to competency and capability. The Australian Qualification Framework (AQF) is based on competency and level of responsibility, not duration, though recently some guide line durations have been introduced. Basically AQF-6 (Associate Degree) upwards are university based qualifications, and AQF-6(Advanced Diploma) downwards are TAFE qualifications.

Apparently, the IEAust wasn't happy that engineering technologists and engineers were both AQF-7, since both have bachelor degree. So IEAust apparently responsible for honors degree AQF-8 being included, though 4 year professional degrees lost honors status some time back. It is also nonsense. Architects typically have a 5 year degree or 2 x 3 year degrees: the typical programme a 3 year degree in architectural studies, followed by time in practice, then return for the professional 3 year degree in architecture. There are other professions which comprise of a 2 stage study programme, resulting in 2 degrees. It should also be noted that from an industry employment viewpoint, not everyone goes onto to complete the 2nd stage and get the 2nd degree: it has no relevance to their employment.

That is part of the problem, professions have little relevance to the needs of industry and society, professional organisations are in some ways attempting to resurrect the restrictive practices of the old guilds. Science however is held partially responsible for the decline of guilds, along with national legislation and regulations. For example building codes specify requirements for buildings, whether prescriptive or perfromance based, the knowledge becomes public, and secret knowledge held inside guilds no longer acceptable: it has to become disclosed. Structural mechanics provides a disclosed method of validating adequacy of a building structure: so some secret ritual to appease the gods so that a building doesn't fall down, ceases to be accepted. Consequently mechanics institutes teaching artisans technical science, starts becoming alot more acceptable than the secret knowledge held by the guilds, and people outside the guilds start practicing and supplying more acceptable product than that supplied by the guilds. Some guilds cease to exist, others adopt the new learning, and become the examining and qualifying authorities. But still, whether guild, professional association, society, institution or union, there is some unwarranted restriction of practice already in place, or attempts are made to put such restrictions in place. Sure protection of the public is usually raised as the basis of the restriction, but that is generally misleading and invalid. The public is typically protected by regulatory and approval systems, with requirements for independent checks. Where licensing and restrictive practice is in place it is typically a relatively old practice and there is no conclusive evidence that such restrictions actually provide protection to the public. Arguments can tend to be presented either way, I favour arguments against licensing. Licensing tends to lead to self-certification, and code of ethics or not, tends to lead some approving things not in the public interest. Licensing tends to lead to monoply, escalation of prices and deliberate shortage of supply. Shortage of supply is achieved by making it difficult to enter the profession, and basing membership on requirements irrelevant to the task performed. Modern laws which protect economic competition, oppose granting monopolies to professions.

Having high standards to join a profession, is not opposed, having high ideals makes wanting to join the profession challenging and worthwhile. The objection is the shortage of supply. Requiring a building designed by a professional structural engineer is unacceptable, because it would tend to lead to restricted supply of buildings: when there are others who can carry out the design. For example engineering associates are capable of structural analysis and design, whilst the use of something like AS1684 timber framing code vastly simplifies the specification of timber framed houses which are structurally adequate. A engineering associate however is not likely to design a multistory building in a high seismic zone, or a bridge other than a short span foot bridge: they may however be involved in designing component parts or subsystems of such larger systems.

Universities and computers however have changed the nature of the workforce, engineering and otherwise. Traditionally designer-detailers would have done detailed design calculations, whilst the engineer concerned themselves with the analysis of the over all system. So for example whilst the engineer is calculating the bending moments in the individual elements of a multi-storey building, a design-detailer could be calculating stresses in beams already analysed and sizing concrete beams and determining reinforcement and producing the drawings specifying such requirements. The designer-detailer likley to have started career as a tracer, and moved onto drafter, and taken additional studies in the required technical sciences: their traing largely on the job working on real projects. The role of designer-detailer may be considered as a career for life, or a stepping stone towards becoming engineer. If no future positions for engineer in a company, then designer-detailer likely to be career for life, unless there is an opportunity to become engineer elsewhere. With more people going from school to university, the designer-detailer role displaced by graduate engineers. The role of engineer then becomes confused as does gaining the experience to become a fully fledged member of the profession.

The organisation becomes increasingly dysfunctional as more and more personnel become inexperienced graduates: both drafters and engineers. Many of the local South Australian consultancy businesses are like this. The "recession we had to have", resulted in shutdown of government departments and privatisation, along with lay offs from large businesses, almost over night there was a massive increase in consulting engineers, as those laid off set up sole proprietorships. Having established businesses these experienced engineers have no desire to show any loyalty to big business only to be laid off again, some do however provide services to the bigger consultancies on a contract basis. So some of the so called shortage of engineers is more a desire to have the experience back in-house at a lower cost. Whilst the IEAust is assisting with its graduate development programmes, and supply of mentors possibly external to a graduates employer organisation, there is still a lack of succession planning to sustain the technical workforce. That is largely because most of the effort is focused on the B.Eng and engineers is what we need: which is not so.

So first we have problem of professions defining idealistic requirements independent of industry needs, then a problem of educational institutions, universities and otherwise defining academic study programmes equally independent of industry needs, and a further problem of computer software and other technologies changing the industrial environment.

Technology has diminished calculation effort, first logarithms, then slide rules based on, then calculating machines, electronic calculators and finally digital computers. Engineer, structural analyst and stress analyst are different professions. The traditional engineer was more concerned with design, and supervising the implementation of such design. Engineering education in the 20th century however, shifted engineers into the role of structural/stress analyst and away from their traditional role. Hence the emergence of the problem of things being designed which cannot be built: a loss of understanding of their core function. The use of computer software is said to assist in a return to the core function. Computers can complete calculations in seconds, therefore don't need such a large team of people to assist in completing such calculations., and skill development doesn't have to be as focused on arithmetic or evaluating mathematical formulations. The problem is defining a new age profession whilst retaining past competencies, which are actually recently developed competencies anyway. The other problem is that other professions and occupations have arisen to take up those tasks engineers discarded as they moved away from their traditional role.


INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS AND QUALIFICATION FRAMEWORKS
The environment is dynamic, and roles in industry are constantly changing. It is partly because of changing roles that occupational groups or professions are designed and defined by those dealing with the industrial relations system and the associated industrial awards. For example the metal industry had a multitude of job definitions and associated restrictive work practices. If I recollect correctly from my studies of industrial relations in the early 1990's, it was considered an achievement that some 109 jobs were reduced to some 63. I never saw the awards at the time, but the most recent I've seen there were 14 occupational wage levels: C14 to C1. Where C14 is a production worker with a few weeks of on the job training, and C1 is professional scientist or professional engineer. Though there were separate industrial awards for scientists, another for engineers, and still another for draughtsmen and technical officers. I say were because we are currently in a transition of moving towards more federal awards rather than state awards. Though national organisations like APESMA would have tended to make state awards for engineers similar. Anycase now have a federal award for technical professionals, and it covers scientists, engineers and information technologists.

Part of the drive for this rationalisation and grouping is to increase mobility in industry, and reduce industrial disputes. For example a weld slag chipper may have been prevented from sweeping the floor. On the one hand this protected the job of the person who swept the floor, on the other it was unproductive. Additionally it creates unwarranted ranking of job roles: neither chipping weld slag or sweeping floors is something to make a life long career out off, though some may wish to. Sweeping the floor in a hazardous industrial environment may require some training, but not necessarily less or more than chipping weld slag. The rationalised awards rank a multitude of such similar jobs into appropriate wage groups. The next issue then becomes developing a multiskilled workforce, which then leads to defining new occupational groups. From which then emerges qualification frameworks like the Australian Qualification Framework (AQF). Given that industrial awards and occupational classification tend to be based on formal education, it is likely that further simplification will result in one industrial award based on minimum wages for each of the 10 levels of the AQF. One of the things the AQF does is define core knowledge for various occupational groups, with electives. So having obtained core knowledge and graduated completing one set off electives, it doesn't require too much effort at some future date to take other electives to move over to another job function. The purpose of the AQF is to enable articulation from one occupation to another giving proper recognition to prior learning (RPL) whether obtained through formal education, on the job training, or self-learning. So building a portfolio of work as evidence of learning is an important aspect of obtaining an AQF certificate.

To move people from wage level C14 to qualified tradesperson at level C10, requires defining a skill set for an occupational group, which enables them to move between a multitude of job roles and job functions. Naming such occupations is also problematic. The change in materials and the change in technologies used changes many job functions and skill sets. A carpenter traditionally worked with wood, but when it comes to building construction likely to also work with steel and variety of other materials. They cannot be called builders because builders already defined and builders don't actually build anything but rather supervise building works. They cannot be called technicians because that is a more knowledge oriented activity than trade activity. Job titles consequently either remain and change meaning to reflect new role. Or in the main job titles just become meaningless and pointless, since they poorly describe the real skill set that the individual has. Individuals have similar problems to business in explaining to the public the services they can provide. Even within a business enterprise which chooses own internal job titles, the actual roles of various individuals may be distorted by the job titles assigned. Businesses restructure every so often, and assign different roles and job titles to better reflect internal operations: but it can still misrepresent real roles and responsibilities.

BACK TO ENGINEERING PRACTITIONERS
As I was saying computer software reduces the size of the engineering team required to complete calculations in a given time frame. So whilst an engineer could do the structural analysis whilst a designer-detailer designed members to the materials codes and worked on drawings, and this was carried out in parallel once the analysis under way: such work break down (WBD) between people no longer required. For structural analysis software can now rapidly carry out the analysis and size all the members, and increasingly generate the technical drawings aswell. So designer-detailers not required, and nor enitirely are drafters.

With the introduction of CAD many drafters replaced by CAD operators. The CAD operators only have a few weeks training in the use of CAD and have poor knowledge of a technical discipline: such as structural, mechanical or electrical etc...They also have poor knowledge of CAD. Increased training produces CAD technicians who have extensive knowledge of CAD but still poor technical knowledge. This adds to the dysfunction of engineering business organisations.

As the software becomes more complex with increasing integration of documentation and engineering assessment, there are calls to have more engineers use the software, rather than CAD technicians. But software is a specific tool and requires trained specialist for each software package. Such training not considered appropriate for engineers who should know the science behind the software. So there are emerging issues as to who should be building such virtual models and who should be responsible for them.

The other problem is an increasing dependence on such software. In many instances the use of the 3D virtual models is inappropriate and unjustified: it takes far too long to build the models and adds no value. But with diminishing skill sets concerned with more generic tools, there is inceasing dependence on such tools, and so increasingly inefficient tackling of projects with unwarranted delays. The real thing could have been built whilst they were playing with the 3D model. Task becoming increasingly more like a video game than real design.

I recently read somewhere a proposal for a 3 year bachelor degree in virtual modelling. I don't see the value in such things. All the time the solution to everything  is an high level academic degree. Such does not have anything to do with the task at hand, it is only concerned with status. Attract people by defining a degree, an AQF-7 qualification, and slotting people in at wage level C1, thus bypassing C14 to C2, and no where to go.

By rights moving from AQF-1 to AQF-10 should reflect increased depth of knowledge and increased responsibility level. Most professional degrees reflect breadth, not depth of knowledge. Also continuing professional development (CPD) requirements are seen by many as a grab for money, especially when weighting is used to diminish value of on the job learning and self-learning: and biased towards paid seminars and otherwise gaining higher academic awards. If actually practising engineering then always learning on the job. If not then probably operating at a level below engineer, on highly routine stuff.

It is this situation of persons not operating at the level of their academic award that needs to be resolved in industry. Persons with B.Eng set out to become professional engineers, cannot achieve and ignore profession. When the first required stepping stone should be to become engineering technician, no choice in the matter, that is where all start. If their job is at an advanced level, then shouldn't be too difficult to advance through technician, associate, technologist and finally achieve engineer status in a short time. For those with relatively simple jobs, they will get stuck at a lower level. But it is now clearer that they need to move on to another company to achieve full status as an engineer, or they need an external mentor to assist in putting their knowledge to use as an engineer and providing more value to their employer and raising their job function.

Another part part of the issue, is that people with an interest in design get stuck on engineering programs, which don't really provide for their interests, and 4 years is a long time. This can be achieved by proper articulation through the AQF levels from AQF-1 to AQF-9, with more industrial experience imposed between each level. So complete first year of B.Eng get AQF-5, complete 2nd year get AQF-6, and complete 3rd year get AQF-7 etc...But before get AQF-5, also have to complete AQF-1 to AQF-4. There then becomes a common core knowledge throughout the industry which all participants are aware of. For example everyone in the industry from trades people upwards can read technical drawings and specifications, and understands them.

Part of the current problem in industry is that occupations are now defined by educational institutions, rather than by industry. When defined by industry people progressed up through various positions in a business or stayed where they were. Those that progressed were aware of the skills of those below because thats where they came from. But with the education system controlling qualifications, people are coming from all over the place and slotted anywhere into the business organisation. So no one really knows the capabilities of their subordinates, and become surprised when the subordinate cannot do what is considered to be a common sense task. Problem is common sense is not common, it is environment and culture specific. School leavers have not spent long enough in the required industrial environment. If they have to get AQF-1, spend time in industry gain some experience and return to study for AQF-2, then a better understanding will be developed of an industry and its processes.

The training of an engineer, thus follows the more traditional route, from tracer, copy-drafter, drafter, design-drafter, to designer. From designer an increasing knowledge of scientific principles becomes necessary depending on the technology involved with. There are also issues of planning, supervision and management to consider, but these are really separate strands of study. Which is the reason to pay more attention to the AQF, than to professions. As a person goes in and out of industry moving from AQF-1 upwards, they will increasing reach a situation where they are offered a fulltime job, and otherwise given guidance to electives to study directions to take. In the main only qualitative understanding of science is required, followed by knowledge of established technology and supervisory skills. Rather than pushing towards AQF-9, better to have multiple AQF-6 qualifications. This not difficult because in the main will only require 1 year of fulltime study, or 2 years part-time, because the first year of such 2 year qualification will be a common core the earlier AQF-5 qualification. In other words a common core of broad technical science with diversions into more specialised areas. So for example not that difficult to cover civil, mechanical and electrical engineering, in 4 years, at the AQF-6 level. The current practice would be to define this as a B.Eng in some specific field such as say architectural engineering. I don't agree with such. For that matter I don't agree with the B.Eng in the first place: should have stayed with the 3 year B.Sc, with the applied technical fields being covered by additional awards such as graduate certificates. For that is part of the real problem, tradition put science into industry where it was applied and provided technical solutions. The B.Eng obscures what is added to the science as do many other professional degrees they should be scrapped, and get back to the B.Sc with something else to cover the applied practice. So an engineer for example more likely to have a B.A to cover the creative design, and a B.Sc to cover the scientific principles. But basic technical design only requires AQF-6 not AQF-8.

The idea is to get people interested, keep them interested, and have them progressing through qualifications from the very beginning. Don't want people leaving the industry, want them to find the right role and level. Some may have preference for planning and supervision so they get diverted to that quickly, others for design. Do not want to confuse industrial design and industrial management with engineering. Academic programmes for engineers are focused on the numbers, not design or management. I believe the young are being misled about what engineering is about. All the promotional programmes are biased towards building technology, not the engineering supposed to be promoting. From such progammes the school students should be taking up trade studies not engineering degree.

So really need to identify that which is unique to the engineer, and I mean in practice, not the foundational beliefs of those defining the profession and supposed subordinates. Engineering technicians, engineering associates and engineering technologists may work as subordinates to engineers, but all are more likely to work independently and subcontract work to engineers on an as needs basis. The actual operation of the industrial economic environment is complex, and we need to make far better of use of the available human resources. Not demanding that people spend increasing amounts of time in formal education before they can start to earn their own income. Got to get them into industry sooner, making use of acquired knowledge. Innovation occurs when people with a different knowledge base than those currently at the coal face are placed at the coal face. So cycle people between industry and formal education. The industrial revolution cascaded ahead because artisans studied technical science out of curiosity, either by reading or due to the availability of mechanics institutes and night schools. Rather than push a few to AQF-8, we should be ensuring that the minimum any employee has is AQF-6, anything less than AQF-6 and the person is still in a training and development programme. The first step however is to ensure everyone has an AQF-1 qualification, and in the main that requires providing evidence of prior learning. The primary step therefore is not going around teaching any one, but assessing them and recognising the learning that they already have.

Pricing Labour and/or Services


Prices are not absolute, they are only ever relative to a given point in time and set of circumstances, and therefore related costs are also relative. In Australia we have state and federal industrial awards which set minimum working conditions for various occupations, including minimum wages. These awards have embodied within them wage relativities which are typically sustained. It creates something of a new age aristocracy, with ranking being based on academic ranking and some groups perceived importance of the occupation. For an otherwise equitable society this is inappropriate. The flaw with such state or national ranking is that its says engineers for example are always worth more than tradespeople: such is nonsense.  Whilst people do get paid over the award rates and therefore there is scope for variability in the market, the occupational representatives will appeal to the industrial courts and commissions to have the relativities reinstated, that is adjust minimum wages in the awards to market rates to keep one occupation ranked higher than another. The nonsense with such scheme is that it is applied across industries and across the state and/or nation, when relativities should vary between businesses dependent on staff and line functions. An engineer in a consultancy has a line function and is more important to business operations than a carpenter who looks after the buildings. An engineer who works for a building company has a staff function and is less important than the carpenters who fullfill the line function. Staff can be terminated and contracted on an as needs basis, line personnel cannot be contracted on an as needs basis for they are the point and purpose of the organisation.

Giving consideration to a sole proprietor, if they contracted the line function, then effectively handing the work over to someone else who gets paid for the job, and so the  sole proprietor doesn't make anything except maybe a small commission for having the work to handover. However tend to get paid more for doing the work than simply attracting it and handing over to others, so if going to hand the work over to others to do, then need to find a lot more work to do. A modern trend in business is to do exactly that: find work and get others to do it. Some engineering consultancies for example have a small core of personnel, they tender for work, and once they have the contract they then seek out personnel who can actually do the work: that is they don't have the expertise nor the labour capacity in house. But this not really any different than other businesses, builders contract to build, but subcontract to drafters, engineers, carpenters, plumbers, electricians, concreter's: a sole proprietor builder with no personnel at all. So what price, what value the effort of those who distribute work, what commission should they be paid? Should there be an industrial award for such activity, and should there be an occupational title for those who carry out such activity? My feeling is no! The industrial awards whilst useful for new startups, otherwise tend to distort the market. It may be beneficial to set a minimum wage to impose a minimum standard of living, but even that is questionable.

Some 95% of all businesses are small business, and account for some 48% of employment: small business employs less than 20 people in non-manufacturing and less than 100 in manufacturing. Some 80% of Architects, Surveyors and Engineers practices are very small business employing less than 5 people. Whilst industrial awards are imposed on employers, they are not imposed on sole proprietors: some industries are dominated by sole practitioner businesses. There are many activities where by individuals consider that they get a greater share of the potential income if they work for themselves rather than as an employee. For whilst it is possible to be paid over the award rates as an employee, something has to happen in the market place before that will happen. Changes in the market may only affect a few businesses and/or employees. If the market does not provide the desired increase in wages for employees then pressure is applied to bring about changes to the awards. This can impose on all businesses to increase wages even though the individual business has experienced no increase in sales or increase in productivity. Potential exists for big business and/or their employees to manipulate the system to grab a greater share of the market, at the same time as award wages are increased beyond capacity of small employers. Small employers tend to retract to being sole practitioners again. Sole practitioners are not bound by industrial awards, only need to cover cost of living.

For a business enterprise, sole proprietor or otherwise, income is what ever they are able to get, there is no industrial award which sets minimum income levels. The industrial awards however do provide a basis for minimum costs to be covered by the income. Business however is a real world experiment, and just because industrial awards set minimum wages for employees, it does not mean that the business is capable of recovering such costs from its sales and operations. The sales which can be achieved at any point in time are uncertain, therefore total income generated is uncertain. Possibly more importantly is that not all costs are visible, tangible, measurable and allocatable. It is a matter of emergence or synergy: the whole is different than the sum of the parts. For example calculate the visibile costs, release a product to market and it only sells for less than the sum of costs. Release another product to market and it sells for significantly more than the sum of costs. Labour, mind and body, is no different than any other product: it can be bought and sold for what ever price the market is willing to support. Sole practitioners don't allow the industrial aristocracy dictate wages to them, they leave it to the market place to determine their income. For some who quit their stable jobs in hopes of making more money than the industrial awards grant them, this may be a bad move. For those who lost their jobs because of changes in the economy, "recessions we had to have", then owner/operator of a small business may represent income not otherwise available: less than the award but more than unemployment benefits. Cities may represent a different kind of environment than our ancient hunter/gatherer ancestors, but it is still a wilderness and a we are still fighting for survival. Cities, and modern technologies do not gaurantee comfort and luxuries, no matter how hard you work. Further more hard work does not give right to such things.

PRICING
The basic guide for pricing labour as a owner/operator, is to divide desired income by the number of hours expect to work. Desired income has to cover minimum cost of living to survive, but can otherwise reflect desired lifestyle. The expected hours of work, can reflect the available hours willing to work, having spent time on other activities.Hence it is beneficial if can get paid to do what you like to do, spending as many hours as are able to do so.

Labour rate = Desired Income / Expected Hours of Work  [$/hour]

This only represents the cost of owner/operators labour to a project, also have to cover costs, and determine chargeout rate. For contractors, with little expenses, the typical guidelines reduce the expected hours to account for such things as: public holidays, sick days, vacations, and long service leave. This calculation is some what important to full time employees on industrial awards: for they get paid for more hours than they actually work. For example consider award wage group C14, last I looked $522.15/week, for a 38 hour week, and a 52 week year. Therefore annual income $27,151.80, for total of 38x52=1976 hours per year, leading to hourly rate of $13.74. But allowing some 47 days at 7.6 hrs/day, paid without work, that removes 357 hours, leaves only 1618 hours actually worked. Thus have to recover the costs of labour at rate of  $16.78/hour labour charged out, before additional expenses are added.

How to cover the additional expenses if not easy to directly allocate, or would otherwise cost more to track than the effort is worth. The simplest approach is to take expenses as a proportion of total revenue and otherwise assume zero profit.

P = R - E
if P = 0 then R = E

E = L + OH
Let OH = fR therefore E = L + fR

Therefore : R = L + fR
Or

R = L / (1-f)

Where P= Profit, R=Revenue, E=Expense, OH=Over Heads, L=Labour, f=OH/R

The fraction 'f' may be available in industry surveys, from historical sales data if business already operating, or otherwise some reasonable number adopted, that is guessed. For example if f=0.4, then: R = 1.67L., and so the $16.78/hr becomes $27.97/hr.

Having calculated a labour rate, by the preceding method it doesn't mean that going to get any work. The hours for a project multiplied by the labour rate may produce a price that the market doesn't like: and note the potential customers in the market are not caluclating costs, they are just guessing or have a gut feeling about what they believe to be a fair and reasonable price. If the customer can do this, then so also can the supplier, at the end of the day the price is what both buyer and seller are willing to accept.

"The successful producer of an article sells it for more than it cost him to make, and that's profit. But the customer buys it only because it is worth more to him than he pays for it, and that's his profit. No one can long make a profit producing anything unless the customer makes a profit using it. " [Samuel B. Pettengill]

In the building industry many businesses over value what they sell, from builders, to manufacturers, to designers and engineers. There contribution to a project is low value and unimportant. Many engineers would find themselves unemployed if regulations which imposed their presence was removed. You don't pay an engineer $1000 to remove and save $1000 worth of concrete, better to have the resistance of the concrete than some scribble that says not required. Too many engineers seem to make the mistake that they protect public safety and stuff would be hazardous without an engineers presence: not so. They neither impart real cost savings nor achieve safety. The issue is that the safe economical system has already been provided by heritage, and therefore current batch of engineers contributing little. Part of the problem is the wage relativity nonsense of the industrial awards: choosing to be an engineer because expect to get paid more than trades person. Engineers are being produced because we can produce them, just like we can produce cars we don't need. Having produced them have to make up reasons to need them, to sell them, or create legislation to impose them. Having a degree does not give a person a right to a high salary, nor to public recognition. Far too many modern professional engineers are relying far too much on the contributions of ancestors to conclude the value and importance of engineers. Those ancestors however do not however have the skills to match the modern specification of professional engineer nor did they have the same attitude. Business requires that can generate revenue, society requires that contribute benefit. To gain recognition modern professionals who want the recognition have to do the contributing. Much of the technology provided is not all that important, and people since the dawn of industrial society have questioned its real value, and still question its value. The survival of populations in cities is dependent on water pumped into them: no power supply, then no operational pump and no water, and if no water then no people can be supported in the city. Finite resources consumed to support a growing population, with no real thought to the future. One possible future is population catastrophically wiped out as it runs out of power. Another possibility is that population will simply age and die out without replenishing itself, leaving a ghost city. The future is uncertain and business is trying to predict future income from todays actions. Rather than engineers complaining about their status, and their incomes, they should better understand the nature of business, the environment and uncertainty. Problem is too many engineers worked for the government in the past building infrastructure to herd the population: they consequently have something of a more dictatorial attitude towards the people and sense of own self importance. Such attitude not going to get them very far in the new modern world of privatisation. The businesses the engineers work for have to provide real value at the right time. The infrastructure that engineers provided whilst working for the government is not seen as a benefit by all: though the engineers see it as a benefit. In business, think you have a good idea then pursue at own expense, not the peoples expense. Then again, the business has to get the money for research, design and development from somewhere, and that somewhere is the customers who pay more than the cost of the product they buy. People don't so much object to profits, but to what the profits are used for. Profits used for expensive suites, expensive cars, expensive houses, holidays, world trips, expensive offices, and typically an expensive lifestyle are objected to most especially if the quality of the service provided is low.

So for example there is a lot of DIY because people can cost the materials, and have spare time in which they can do the work. Without getting into complications of comparitive labour rates and opportunity costs, the individuals simply perceive that the cost difference between supply price and material cost is too high, and therefore choose to DIY. So to get the work have to demonstrate the value in service supplied. Builders cannot get the work, drafters cannot get the work because of DIY, but engineering practitioners get the work because legislation imposes a need for calculations that most people cannot DIY. But cannot rely on such captive audience remaining: also having a captive audience diminishes the recognition get from such audience. It is therefore necessary to build real value, and demonstrate that value to potential customers. That is recognition from customers not the population.

Part of that added value is having the solution before the customer turns up. Things can be designed once and made many times, or if a service carried out many times. Car manufacturers build cars with features that the market hopefully wants. Whilst buildings are typically built to customer requirements, and are thus not available when the customer turns up. On the other hand established buildings dominate the available supply, but typically can only buy an established building if it is not in use. However there are market builders who have stock plans, the house isn't available when the customer shows up, but they do have a choice of designs to choose from. Design and engineering are additional costs, new buildings represent delays in supply, and they also have teething problems, all compared to an established building. An established building may however have problems that need resolving. The value of available supplies thus determines decisions made and directions taken. Such decisions are not necessarily taken using any direct costing, or cost-benefit or value-analysis. At the end of the day these are just sophisicated methods to justify a guess. Using such tools the parts maybe weighted and valued, but the sum of these parts doesn't represent the value of the whole. So the opinion relative to the whole is no worst nor better than that based on the sum of opinions relating to the parts. A guess is a guess no matter how sophisticated. In the modern world there are far too many mathematical models which are given unwarranted credence, and yet there is only garbage to feed into them and consequently only get garbage out off them.

Costing methods can be made increasingly complex as can pricing methods, but at the end of the day, acceptance in the market is left to personal opinion or subjective judgement. Business is an experiment, and getting the price right is part of that experiment. The business has to be dynamic, adaptive, and responsive to feedback from its operating environment.

Not suggesting avoid sophisticated costing and pricing methods, just that they have to be appropriate to the age and nature of a business activity. The older an activity, the mre likely all its associated costs can be determined including those intangibles such as allowance for future needs. Further it can be determined whether detailed tracking is required, and the level of detail required. Often tracking costs more than the benefit obtained.

Time Is Life, Time is Not Money!
One problem with the previous rate is that it gives rise to the believe that time is money, and the concept that some engineers have that they sell time. Hourly rates are problematic. Contractors are likely to drag a contract out so that they don't have to find another contract, and so get the most from one contract. One recommendation for calculating contract labour hire rate is to allow 20% loss of time looking for work. This gives rise to different recommended rates for short contracts and long term contracts. Lower hourly rates are charged for longer contracts. The acceptable labour rates determines how long can be spent looking for work, so that more than 20% may be possible: since also dependent on what it costs the individual whilst they look for work. Also don't have to look for work, can spend the time in other activities, such as developing solutions, so that have available when a customer turns up looking for. Got to change mindset away from the 9 to 5 work time mentality. The difference between working on the business, versus working in the business. Most people who give up their job and start a business, are still locked into the employee mentality: do the work that flows in and pay no attention to where it comes from or why? A few years later no work, no business and no income. Firefighters are paid to be on stand by, there can be no doing something else when on stand by, they have to be available for fighting fires. Part of being in business means being available, even if not doing any work, and so there is a cost associated with such availability. For example a cost of not doing any work this week, so that can start work next week: if choose to do work this week may have to spend many more weeks without work. Hourly rates therefore have to be increased to account for reduced hours actually working.

Another issue to consider with hourly rates is that not every hour worked is worth the same value. With extensive division of labour within an organisation lower value tasks are carried out by persons on lower pay rates. But even then not everything that these people do is worth the same value, however the average value of their work is less than the average value of someone elses typical work. By distributing work to a collection of people on different labour rates a lower over all fee for a job can be determined, compared to fee worked out on the basis of the cost of the top level skills required on the project. For example internal to an engineering consultancy an engineer gets paid more than a drafter, the bulk of the work tends to be drafting, and fees worked out with costs distributed between drafter and engineer. As sole practitioners however the fees of the engineer are too high, the work flows to the drafter who subcontracts the engineer on an as needs basis. Further more the engineer typically cannot relate well to the customer, so subcontracting to the drafter, is the wrong direction for the customer, even if preferred direction for the engineer. The engineer has to be doing the drafting work if to relate to the customer, and needs to be charging a lower fee for such work. Since such engineer is doing both drafting and engineering, their average rate is lower than those just doing engineering, but still higher than the drafter. The net fee however may still be too high, however there will be less delay compared to the engineer and drafter combination. So there is a premium for the faster delivery time.

Higher prices have either premiums or penalties incorporated. A premium because there is benefit to the customer, penalties because there is some disadvantage to the supplier. Higher prices do not mean higher value or increased quality. Prices are relative things.High prices may just mean that the supplier doesn't want to do the work. So having found someone who can supply at lower price is no loss or detriment to the supplier with the higher price: they achieved what they set out to do, not be hassled with such work. Its not always a race to drop fees and grab work. Often greater benefit in pushing fees up and pushing the work away, ultimately the price gets high enough that the work no longer seen as a hassle and the work is accepted.

Whilst a project fee may be worked out on the basis of an hourly rate and an estimated time duration to complete with possibly material costs included. The final fee is subject to the nature of the market and may need to be dropped, or it may be possible to increase it. It is not necessary to have calculated detail as to where the fee came from. It is only really necessary for the business to have an accumulative income which stays ahead of the accumulated expenses: not for the individual project. Some projects are a loss, others a gain, on average the business achieves a nett gain. There should be no drop in quality due to a loss on the project, the business still has the resources to do properly, the project is just not self funding, and there is no reason why all projects should be. The problem is owners who extract excessive profits from the business to fund exorbitant lifestyles. Profits have to be retained in the business to fund future uncertainties.

Projects which make a loss are indicating something about the market. Like we are tired of paying large fees to be told what we already know, so if such "service" must be imposed on us, please do so at lower fee. Which means figure out what is really required, what value it has and charge an appropriate fee for. When it comes to engineering there is a perception that it means supply calculations: which is a low quality service to provide. Relevant calculations can now be done by computer in a few seconds, a mere fraction of the time taken by engineers calculating by hand. Selling time thus becomes silly. Further it is what happens prior to and after the calculations that is important not the process of calculation itself, such calculation process is an hindrance and delay. These "fore" and "after" actions are where the value lies. So let other than engineers use the computer programs and play around with the models, it is better than them building the real things and having the real systems fail. They still need some one to validate and certify the final design and a fee to be charged for. The playing around with design concepts however is where it belongs in the hands of end-users and/or makers, getting familar with a concept and experimenting with its benefits and detriments, and otherwise checking the consequence of variations. Designers do not have to be qualified, they do not have to understand scientific laws, they can build prototypes and understand the real thing. If they can build computer based virtual prototypes then they can save time and possibly expense: they get to find out for themselves why some part of a proposal is a bad idea.

Point is things become established, and technologies change, so there is an expectation that supply prices change, and typically that means decrease. What engineers complaining about declining fees fail to understand is that the value of their contribution to projects has been steadily declining, as their output becomes more and more routine, predictable and expected because variants already exist in the technological environment. It may be possible to sell each car produced at similar price because each one takes similar effort to build. But this does not hold true for specifications of a car, or anything else. The first specifications take a great deal of time and effort to create, copying however is a considerably simpler and less time demanding activity. Even variants are less demanding than the original. Heritage diminishes value of future endeavours, it provides a foundation on which to build. So cannot expect to keep charging same price for design work. Experience both diminsihes and adds value. Experience adds value because know the answer now whilst someone else has to work it out. The cost of someone else working it out basically matches the cost of knowing the answer. But once all know the answer, the value starts to decline. So all this hourly rate, time is money, selling time stuff is misleading, as is having national industrial awards. Prices, labour rates, fees are all highly variable and uncertain. Start with something, anything, monitor feedback and then change accordingly. Small business, sole practitioners are typically better able to respond quickly to the market, than large businesses. Larger business more into controlling the market than responding to. There are no certain answers, just got to get good at experimenting and predicting the right response, the desired response from a complex system.


Business, TelCo's, and Power companies


When studying quality assurance it was pointed out that quality cannot be acheived by constantly changing suppliers. If suppliers don't have a stable market then there is no incentive to invest in productivity or quality improvements, for there is too much uncertainty in the environment and may not gain a return on the investment. Therefore suppliers need a certain amount of loyalty from their customers.  On the other hand the customer needs the supplier to invest in quality and productivity and not just invest profits in luxurious lifestyle. To achieve this large corporate buyers can impose discounts and penalties on their suppliers, that is the buyer can can control the terms of supply rather than the supplier. For example a 5 year contract, on condition of a 5% discount each year: this actually justified on the basis that the buyer helped the supplier improve quality and reduce waste: and the buyer wants to share the benefit they helped achieve.

So enter the government privatising and deregulating everything, like telecommunications companies and electrical power supply. On top of which we have a competition watchdog, which is there to prevent monopolies and protect competition. Though given the subtle difference between the common perception of competition and the economists definitions, it may be better to protect diversity rather than competition. The theory is that by deregulating and protecting competition efficiency is produced and this benefits the buyers by lower prices and higher quality. Its all rubbish. Competition produces chaos, and annoyance and inconvenience.

Every 3 to 6 months, some telecommunications company phones up and tries to get the receiver of the call to change service provider: and typically calling from overseas, like from India to Australia. The benefit of changing supplier is discounted service for some time frame. Changing does not make these interrupting phone calls go away, and the new contracts may lock in for 1 to 2 years and impose a penalty if drop out earlier. The service providers are mostly retailers, they do not own the telecommunications infrastructure, they do not build it, and they neither maintain nor operate it. They are basically paper shufflers who play around with money on paper.

Similar situation arises for electrical power retailers. They come around knock on door, asking to see last bill, and some number on the form: because they are discounting in the area, and if have right number on form win the lottery or something and get the discount. Once again the majority are just retailers, they don't own power stations, or fuel supplies, they don't build, operate or maintain any of the infrastructure: just paper shufflers.

Some how these companies can buy the resource direct from the actual producers and sell to the public at lower price than the public can buy themselves direct from producer. Probably end up similar situation to that of the farmers pressured by the supermarkets. The supermarkets for that matter tend to impose the same contracts and discounts on all suppliers. Depending on what is being supplied to the supermakets can simply increase fee to allow for discount so that get fee normally get: not like they provide enough work to deserve a discount and certainly not providing any services to assist improvement of productivity or quality. But that's another story.

The point here is that just because these retailers are offering lower fees at the moment doesn't mean that the customer will benefit in the long term: financially or otherwise. The "otherwise" is probably the more critical issue, because as pointed out above, the retailers are just measuring things in terms of money and shuffling numbers on paper: the result is that the actual infrastructure can be placed at risk. Due to such risks, some regulation is required to control the retailers: so not actually deregulated market just a different set of regulations.

Price is not an absolute measure of anything: it is always relative to a time and set of circumstances. One retailer offering lower fees is just a stimulus in the environment, it is not a guarantee that prices will drop across the board, nor an indicator that prices can be maintained at that level. All the retailers have to buy from the same producers, they have to pay all the people doing the paper shuflling, making phones calls and running door to door making the sales, and otherwise make a profit to keep shareholders happy. Put simply costs that were not present in the previous government/people owned system. Admittedly the previous system may have had public servants employed not doing much of anything: for example plans for power stations not built, or simply attending pointless meeting after meeting making out to be involved in productive administration. A privatised bureaucracy is no more efficient than a government bureaucracy: so no real benefit to privatisation: just a shift in ownership and control. Fundamentally the minimum cost of everything is zero: don't do it. If choose to do it, then it costs what it costs. The objective of business is not to minimise costs, but to maximise profits: and having locked the costs: the only way to maximise profits is increase sales and prices. The exercise is therefore to redistribute the associated costs, to achieve higher benefit or added-value.
Competition does not lower prices nor produce efficiency. Diversity of suppliers merely offers variety in the quality of service and prices. A given total profit can be achieved by low prices and high volume, or high pr ices and low volume. Business is a real world experiment and each enterprise aims to see what works for them. If other players can ask high prices, then so can everybody else. Business pushes prices up in an attempt to get similar income and lifestyle to those with the higher prices: don't generally or sensibly want to be the one with the lowest price. Only drop prices if expectations of higher sales volume, and thus greater nett profit.

In terms of telecomunications and power supply, the market has been deregulated and the retailers are all out to get some share of a market not previously available. So to get a share of that market they all offer lower prices: what else can they do? They don't have anything or do anything, so price structures is all that they can play around with. So the lower prices is actually questionable, because the price constructs are not altogether comparable: except maybe on a fixed period: say the 1 or 2 years of a contract lock in. To provide the lowest rate need to know what rates everybody else in the market is offering. If it is truly unregulated then can only guess what the lowest rate in the market is going to be before publishing figures. Once figures published, then know real position in the market, but still a guess for next release of new prices: because do not know what the other players are going to do: raise or lower their prices relative to which other player. So at any point in time its anybodies guess which player offers the lowest price rate.

So for many consumers, there is no value to them in switching from the original producer/retailer to one of the new retailer only companies: its just an inconvenience and interruption to their day. Its similar to discount vouchers and end of season sales. For busy people collecting the discount vouchers is more effort than the discount is worth, for other people they have the time to get the maximum possible value from the vouchers: its a matter of opportunity cost to the individual. Stores making discount vouchers available understand these opportunity costs, and some what hoping that not everyone takes advantage of all the vouchers released.

The sales people for the telecommunications and power companies however, don't appear to understand such opportunity costs: for that matter many appear to have just stepped off the ship and can only just speak English. They seem to think that everybody would appreciate having their day interrupted to get a discount. No! If we didn't call the supplier chances are we are not interested. Also if people are locked into 2 year contracts and cannot change without paying a penalty, then there is also reluctance to change. But it does seem like the retailers may know, which households have never changed from the original producers, and therefore, who is not currently locked into a 1 or 2 year contract.

Point is many are not interested in the lower prices for a variety of reasons, not the least of which is that the sales person interrupted and wouldn't quickly accept no: the harder they try the more locked the answer "no" becomes. Also of importance is the perception that the over all quality of service is declining due to poor maintenance of the infrastructure, and that it will get worst. Its not lower fees people want, its more reliable service, and the paper shufflers cannot provide. If these retailers can affect the quality of service they do not mention so or explain how: they only ever present the option of lower prices. They are not creative enough with their paper work, nor do they explain how they get the resource they sell in the first place. In other retail, aware that local stores gets discount for buying in bulk from wholesaler, and wholesaler gets discount for buying in bulk from manufacturer/producer. So assume that this is what the telecommunications and power retailers are able to do: buy in bulk from the producers. This however also infers a need to push consumption: not really good for the power industry. {NB: most modern phones require a power point, whilst traditional phones didn't: want to lower costs put the traditional phone back.}

That is the retailers have to sell what they buy: whether the product is considered perishable or not depends on the terms of their contract. Like internet service providers, buy so many gigabytes or hours of activity for a month: if don't use it then loose it, it doesn't roll over to the next month with most suppliers. So if power retailers buy so many kWhrs for a year, and cannot sell them to consumers, it becomes like perishable fruit if have to sell with in a given period of time. That perished then becomes a cost to be recovered in price of next batch of power sold, and so the price goes up. But what are they actually selling? Its like the mobile phone companies, $600 for $50: next time I'm short of money I will just go mobile phone shop and exchange a $1 for $2. The problem is the only measure they have for what ever it is they are selling is dollars: the monetary value only. But not really measured: the original price really pulled out of thin air. The power companies seem to be moving in similar direction.

The power companies can only buy potential kWhr's, whilst consumers typically buy KWhr's actually used: though may be averaged and bill based on estimated yearly usage and every so often brought into alignment with actual usage. So retailer has a problem if consumers use more power than the "potential" the retailers bought: for which the producer may impose a penalty on the retailer. So irrespective of whether consumers use more or less power the price can climb: it all depends on how well the retailers can balance their requirements.

Prices are not absolute and all depends on what the individual considers reasonable. The more of a resource a consumer uses, the lower the price they want, however reliability of supply is also important, and they will not opt for lower at the cost of loss of supply. For example no power and the refrigerators don't work, and the fruit perishes and so do medical supplies: this represents losses to businesses and also potential loss of life. Reliability of a resource supplier is therefore important. If lower prices appear to be resulting in reduction in reliability people are not going to switch to lower price and reinforce lack of supply.

Also in terms of power reduction, no benefit can arise unless an entire generator/turbine can be shutdown. So if local power station has 5 turbines, there can be no real reduction in cost of supply, until only need to operate 4 turbines. Also with urban sprawl, there is likely to be increasing energy losses getting power from station to the outer suburbs. An option is to build a power station closer to the outer suburbs, but then got problem of transportation of the fuel supplies, and also the minimum size of power station that is practical to build and operate. It is a problem concerning the economics of geography and location: power station where the coal is, the water is, or where the usage is? The answer is typically only valid at a single point in time: and thus invalid once the power station is built and operational: because prices are not absolutes. For example power generated using coal is becoming an increasing environmental issue: basically been an issue since first used. Original issue was visible particulate matter, now it is invisible gases: but no one said gases have to be exhausted to the atmosphere. The exhaust gases are a resource currently wasted. The carbon tax may be an increasing issue of concern, but in the main both business and individuals are extremely wasteful. Its not lower priced power retailers that need to be looking for, nor suppliers of ever so questionable green power: rather use less power, pay less.

The way to use less power is to increase the real benefit required from the power used: so not a cost cutting exercise, but a quality, productivity improving, waste reduction exercise. For example achieve light without electricity, heating and cooling without electricity, and cooking without electricity. And rechargeable batteries are they a problem or a means of buffering peak demands. We primarily use the electricity we do because it is convenient and there is a lack of diversity in alternative systems. Similarly people mostly use mobile phones because of convenience not necessity: lets many in business be relatively incompetent: instead of paying attention during a meeting they sort it out afterwards with a phone: so could have saved the fuel travelling to a meeting. Which is another issue, all the houses and buildings empty during the day, whilst people out at work in other buildings. All this travelling back and forth, stuck in traffic jambs, to sit at a desk using a computer all very wasteful. Further how much energy used in houses occupied by one person during the day? Also we have mulitstory buildings for carparks to feed offices: we could be using the cars as workstations and the carparks as the office blocks. Some of the buildings we have are highly questionable. Like supermarkets with oceans of carparks: could just have a market with goods sold direct from vehicles. Then there is all the street lighting and the comercial buildings lit up during the night: is it all really necessary? Similarly offices that require lights on during the day, more poor design. The need for hi-rise buildings themselves are questionable. Geographical economics may imply the formation of central business district (CBD): but the construction of hi-rises buildings more create the CBD rather than a consequence of. That is the CBD is developed at the expense of more localised centres of business: and so unnecessary travel is imposed. Urban sprawl is largely sprawl because of the CBD: build and develop more local centres and have less concentration of pollutants, more built in redundancy and improved security of supply.

We have moved from population mostly engaged in agricultural work, to manufacturing onto service sector. Telecommunications and power retailers are a sign of modern society. Our problems are not so much those of production: we can produce what we need with few people: our problem is acceptable means of distribution to those that need. A lot more paper shuffling is going to be taking place, selling ever stranger financial products, to bring about transformations in the infrastructure, the heritage, we already have. As long as people are content with what they have they are unlikely to change behaviour. Its like the frog: throw into hot water it will immediately jump out, place in warm water and slowly bring to the boil the frog won't move and will be boiled to death. People in industrial society basically have all the material comforts they could possibly want: they are not overly certain however that is what they really need or wanted. Service sector is keeping people occupied, and finding alternative ways to buy and sell stuff., and pump money round the economy: this is necessary because we have more people than is required to physically produce stuff: on top of which got a decreasing population actually interested in producing stuff.

So it all becomes about buying and selling abstract somethings, which may turn out to be nothing, and get the likes of the global financial crisis (GFC).